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Is Nvidia a buy after blowout earnings?

It’s time to revisit a mega name. Here is the break on $NVDA, otherwise known as Nvidia.

Current Price: $627.18

52/Wk High: $628.00

52/Wk Low: $257.00

Market Cap: $388.9 Billion

Dividend: $0.16 / 0.11% Yield

Read below for the breakdown!

Nvidia is a leading semiconductor and semiconductor equipment company that focuses mainly on GPU’s, Artificial Intelligence, and processors.

Breaking down Nvidia’s stock price according to TREFIS data, 87.95% of the stock price is based on the company’s GPU segment.

Furthermore, 11.14% of Nvidia’s stock price is based on their Tegra Processors segment and 0.91% is based on the company’s cash and or net of debt.

Previously Nvidia announced the acquisition of Arm for $40 billion, which if approved would turn Nvidia into an even bigger semiconductor monster that would likely dominate the space for years to come.

In recent news, Nvidia impressed investors with a levy of new products and deals at their investor day conference.

During the investor conference Nvidia unveiled a next-generation AI processor for autonomous vehicles, its entrance into the data center CPU market with its Grace CPU, and a bevy of software and partnership announcements.

Digging into the numbers, Nvidia beat Q4 2021 expectations with an EPS of $3.10, better than the analysts EPS consensus estimate of $2.81. On a year over year basis, EPS improved by 64.02% year over year.

Revenues impressed as well, jumping by 61% year over year to a very strong $5.00 billion. For reference, the Q4 2020 revenues level was $3.11 billion.

Revenue growth by segment for Q4;

Gaming: 67% YoY

Data Center: 97% YoY

Professional Visualization: -7% YoY

Automotive: -11% YoY

As for margins, Nvidia reported a Q4 gross margin of 63.1%, stronger than the previous quarters gross margin of 62.6% but 180 basis points weaker than the Q4 2020 gross margin level of 64.9%.

Operating income on the other hand jumped 52% year over year to a strong $1.507 billion. On a quarter over quarter basis, operating income increased by 8%.

Net income was impressive as well, increasing by 53% year over year to $1.457 billion. On a quarter over quarter basis net income jumped by 9%.

As for expenses, operating expenses increased by 61% year over year to $1.650 billion, which is to be expected given the significant increase in business.

Looking back on the full year, Nvidia reported strong FY 2021 revenues of $16.675 billion, representing a 53% gain on a year over year basis.

Furthermore, Nvidia reported a full year gross margin of 65.6% (up 310 bps YoY) and an operating income of $6.803 billion, representing a 82% increase year over year.

Shifting into the balance sheet the numbers are solid.

Total Debt: $6.963 Billion

Total Liabilities: $11.898 Billion

Total Assets: $28.791 Billion

Cash & Short Term Inv: $11.561 Billion

On a valuation basis, Nvidia does trade at a premium.

Price to Earnings: 91.07x

Forward Price to Earnings: 41.83x

Price to Sales: 23.19x

Price to Book: 23.02x

Price to Cash Flow: 58.04x

Management has been effective.

Return on Equity: 29.78%

Return on Assets: 18.79%

Return on Invested Capital: 21.45%

Given the numbers the analysts are bullish with a mean price target of $664.60/share, representing a 5.97% upside.

The high price target is $800/share, representing a 27.56% gain, while the low price target is $500.00/share, representing a 20.28% downside.

The big money is quite involved, with 66.08% of Nvidia being owned by institutions. Top holders include The Vanguard Group, BlackRock Institutional Trust, and Fidelity Management & Research.

On a technical basis, Nvidia is strong. According to the six-month charts the MACD is moving with strong upside momentum within a range of 17.94 down to 6.94.

The six-month charts are also indicating an RSI of 73.18 and CCI of 201.26, both of which are on the high end.

In short, Nvidia ($NVDA) is a strong “semiconductor AND software” company with a motivated management team, expanding revenues, and plenty of growth ahead.


Disclaimer: This is not direct financial advice, simply an opinion based on independent research.

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